Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.391346 0.443520 0.501914 0.572464 0.655856 0.751857 0.871562
2024-10-06 0.316938 0.386808 0.472751 0.587755 0.739950 0.937849 1.220380
2024-10-13 0.269842 0.346342 0.446792 0.591417 0.799581 1.097028 1.571076
2024-10-20 0.233540 0.311170 0.418234 0.581335 0.832265 1.219627 1.897671
2024-10-27 0.207607 0.285249 0.396787 0.575029 0.865565 1.346032 2.263054
2024-11-03 0.195248 0.276392 0.397716 0.601079 0.952688 1.577616 2.887607
2024-11-10 0.181485 0.263375 0.389994 0.611079 1.013492 1.776355 3.520499
2024-11-17 0.166267 0.246203 0.373236 0.602674 1.038787 1.912779 4.071296
2024-11-24 0.152183 0.229269 0.354701 0.588026 1.048872 2.019914 4.596142
2024-12-01 0.142681 0.218765 0.345598 0.588856 1.089094 2.201328 5.394545
2024-12-08 0.136704 0.213466 0.344708 0.604701 1.163040 2.479838 6.613835
2024-12-15 0.129460 0.205293 0.337761 0.607569 1.209278 2.704683 7.800676
2024-12-22 0.120453 0.193491 0.323403 0.594326 1.218482 2.842561 8.802228
2024-12-29 0.116083 0.189538 0.323226 0.610596 1.301234 3.211148 10.967823
2025-01-05 0.110619 0.183119 0.317660 0.614468 1.354496 3.514660 13.145944
2025-01-12 0.104069 0.174166 0.306284 0.603897 1.368479 3.702612 14.975275
2025-01-19 0.098549 0.166716 0.297187 0.597286 1.391913 3.931994 17.281860
2025-01-26 0.096864 0.166377 0.302359 0.624609 1.516148 4.566975 22.832588
2025-02-02 0.093671 0.162866 0.300621 0.635102 1.594586 5.072378 28.434022
2025-02-09 0.089026 0.156170 0.291572 0.626282 1.612712 5.347981 32.824790
2025-02-16 0.084197 0.148796 0.280472 0.610916 1.607357 5.525344 36.768893
2025-02-23 0.081039 0.144571 0.275862 0.611787 1.655349 5.967547 44.360300
2025-03-02 0.079292 0.143085 0.277139 0.628409 1.760835 6.745072 58.131034